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Archives for April 2020

Agenda-based Science in the Age of COVID-19

April 24, 2020 by costaricaguy Leave a Comment

Agenda-based Science in the Age of COVID-19

When did we stop trusting in science?

Those of the fundamentalist religious persuasion stopped trusting around the time of the Scopes Monkey Trial in 1925. And as far as that crowd goes, things haven’t changed a whole lot since then…

But how about the rest of us, who consider ourselves a bit more even-keeled?

It seems these days a healthy trust in, versus skepticism of, science always breaks down along political lines. The democrats seem to be much more accepting of the prognostications of science than are the republicans.

Why is that?

It seems to have something to do with the now decades long “controversy” surrounding climate change. Although, I believe the real reason goes a bit deeper than just that.

Climate change is accepted science…period. I’m not going to waste any effort here trying to argue that point. You can do your own research…just do it in the right places and avoid the crackpots. And these days there’s no shortage of those!

Acceptance of climate change breaks down along political lines, more-so than perhaps any scientific topic in modern history. You might have to go back to the Copernican revolution to find a more hotly debated topic surrounding settled science.

According to Pew Research, 90% of democrats believe the government is doing too little to combat climate change, versus 39% of republicans.

Why is climate change so hard for republicans to accept?

Well, one could point to the leadership, or lack thereof, by our current president. He is a staunch climate change denier (or, at best, skeptic) and he influences millions of his die-hard supporters to believe likewise…

And he has Fox News constantly backing him up!

Republicans tend to believe that the whole climate change issue is wrapped up in agenda-based science, or science in pursuit of a political agenda…

And what is that agenda, exactly?

According to republicans, it is to turn the U.S.A. into a socialist, or even communist, state. Republicans distrust big government…such distrust is the very sine quo non of conservatism…

Never-mind that in many ways Donald Trump has expanded government far beyond his predecessor(s). One need only look at the current federal deficit for proof of that.

When civilization is faced with big non-economic problems, like an alien invasion (of the “outer-space” variety), meteor strike, an out of control climate, or a world-wide pandemic, it’s usually science that comes to the rescue.

Science supplies us with the facts and the actions we need to take based on those facts. Then it takes collective action, i.e. government action, to execute those scientific-based solutions…

COVID-19 presents one of these instances where humanity must turn to science for answers, perhaps like none other in recent generations. That’s not to downplay the effect of climate change, but climate change is a creeping problem, whereas COVID-19 has jumped up and bit us in the ass overnight…to the tune of over 50,000 deaths in the U.S. alone, and counting.

Nevertheless, we have some out there, mostly on the right, who’re playing politics with a freaking virus, as if it could possibly be cognizant of political affiliation.

The truth is that science and politics, like religion and politics, make for strange bedfellows. In fact, there should be a wall of separation between them…

Oh wait, there is a wall between church and state…

How about between science and state?

It should not be up to republicans, or the republican president, to decide which science they (or he) will support. And the same, of course, goes with democrats. If science tells us that the only way to defeat COVID-19 is by collective action that will have economic repercussions, then that’s the solution we’re all faced with accepting, period.

Our capitalistic economic system is not science and neither is it decreed by the almighty. It’s just an economic theory that proposes a market solution to pretty much everything. But there’s not a market solution to COVID-19. Capitalism won’t save us here. Conservatism, with its belief in limited (or no) government, won’t save us here.

In fact, this crisis is dramatically exposing how capitalism, at least the kind that has run amok in the last few decades, is failing society.

The U.S.A. has surpassed all other countries in the world in virtually all statistics (i.e., the negative ones) related to COVID-19. The U.S.A. has the most cases, the most deaths, and one of the highest fatality rates.

This little bug has made a shambles of the mighty American market and of so-called American exceptionalism.

We must all immediately stop the madness of allowing political division to get in the way of doing the right thing. And that means doing the thing(s) science tells us to do, no matter how painful, or inconsistent with your political beliefs, it might be.

I’m afraid COVID-19 presents us with this stark choice between science and politics like nothing ever has, at least in my lifetime. This crisis is presenting us with hard choices. I can understand the tendency towards skepticism. But skepticism won’t serve us here. Playing politics with a pathogen won’t serve us here.

This tendency towards agenda-based science in the age of COVID-19 is going to show us how destructive the political division really can be…

Perhaps that’s the “agenda” of this virus?

Filed Under: Removing Impact Blinders Tagged With: Agenda-based Science, COVID-19

The Cruelty of COVID-19

April 5, 2020 by costaricaguy Leave a Comment

The Cruelty of COVID-19

Something that has dawned upon me as of late is the cruelty of COVID-19. I’m not talking about the fact that it’s a virus that makes us sick, as all those suckers do. I’m talking about this cynical and downright insidious cruelty that’s putting the human race squarely upon the horns of a moral dilemma.

Let’s put this disease in perspective. If you’ll remember, when the news of COVID-19 first broke out, many were comparing it to the common flu. In a previous post I introduced a statistic called the reproduction number (or R0). The R0 of the coronavirus that causes COVID-19 (the disease that results from infection) is estimated at around 2.2, versus 1.3 for the flu. If you read my post, you’d know that R0 is the average number of people a given person with the virus will infect. So, it appears that COVID-19 is significantly more contagious than the flu.

It’s also far more deadly. It’s still uncertain, but most experts put the COVID-19 fatality rate at between 1 and 2%. The fatality rate for the flu is well-known to be .1%, so COVID-19 is anywhere from 10 to 20 times more deadly.

Now, we don’t put the brakes on the entire economy due to the flu. And granted there are virus-borne diseases out there, like Ebola, that are far more deadly than COVID-19. So, why are we eager to inflict so much damage to ourselves over COVID-19?

Consider what the results would be if we just let COVID-19 run its course. How many people would be infected? Well, the flu infects around 9% of the world population annually. We already established that COVID-19 is more contagious, so let’s say that if we just stepped aside and did nothing, 10% of the world would get infected and 1.5% of those infected would die. There are approximately 7.8 billion people on our planet, so if COVID-19 infected 10% of them, that would mean 780,000,000 infected and at a fatality rate of 1.5%, about 117 million people dead!

If what I just wrote seems outlandish to you, consider that the Spanish Flu of 1918 killed between 17 and 50 million (with some estimates as high as 100 million).

As alarming as the numbers I just presented are, the dilemma posed by the cruelty of COVID-19 nevertheless remains…

Why do we need to destroy the economy and do so much damage to practically everyone, when only a small minority actually get infected by COVID-19 and an even smaller percentage dies?

It’s the age-old utilitarian argument of John Stuart Mill versus the moral imperative of Immanuel Kant.

If you think about it, capitalism is largely justified by the utilitarian argument. That is, at least in the U.S. and other democratic regimes, we choose the utilitarian benefits of a capitalistic economy that flow to society at large, even though a smaller portion of the populace is damaged by it. And now you have Trump, a staunch capitalist, trying to make that same argument when it comes to COVID-19. He does this by arguing that we should open the economy back up even when doing so probably means a much larger percentage of the population will become infected and many more deaths will occur as a result.

Now, I’m no hard-core capitalist and certainly no fan of Donald Trump. But even for me this is a hard one. I’ve already been affected by this thing economically and I’m afraid more damage is yet to be personally experienced.

In Costa Rica 90% of the infections have occurred in the metropolitan area around the capital city of San Jose. In Perez Zeledon where I live, there have only been 3 confirmed cases and it’s been that way for going on 3 weeks now. So, why does the economy of the entire country have to be shut down? Why can’t I go to my favorite watering hole for a beer? Why can’t I drive my car on the highway today? Why are my real estate customers being denied entry into the country?

Why? Why? Why?

It just doesn’t seem fair!

The moral argument of Kant, his “categorical imperative”, tells me that I should judge a certain personal behavior as moral only if its universal application (that is, by everyone) would render an acceptable result. In other words, whether or not I should just go about my daily living as if this COVID-19 thing never happened, depends on the result that could occur if everyone did the same thing. And I believe we know the answer to that question…

The whole concept of social-distancing falls in line with Kant’s categorical imperative and is diametrically opposed to the anti-altruism espoused by the likes of Ayn Rand (the godmother of modern-day neoliberal capitalism). Rand was no fan of Kant, by the way.

COVID-19 presents a moral challenge for us. Do we go the more well-worn capitalistic utilitarian route, even if many of the older and weaker among us die as a result, or do we act, not so much for our own benefit, but for the universal benefit of the human race writ large?

I said before that this disease is going to test us and test our systems, especially those that are built around that Mill utilitarian argument…

I guess it really comes down to whether or not there’s some benefit to being compassionate that outweighs the benefit of being comfortable, materially speaking…

What do you think?

I’m pretty sure that viruses aren’t conscious, but this little bugger sure as hell seems to know exactly what it’s doing…

to US.

Image Credit: Siouxsie Wiles and Toby Morris / CC BY-SA

Filed Under: The Big US Tagged With: coronavirus, COVID-19

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